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Roth Conversions5 min read

Why January–February Is the Best Time for Roth Conversion Planning

Evaluating income brackets and thresholds early gives you maximum flexibility. Early planning allows adjustments if income or market conditions change throughout the year.

February 1, 2026

Most people think of Roth conversions as a year-end tax move. But waiting until November or December to start planning is like trying to steer a ship after it's already hit the rocks. The most effective Roth conversion strategies are built in January and February — then executed tactically throughout the year.

1. Mapping the “Stealth Tax” Minefield Early

A Roth conversion directly increases your Adjusted Gross Income (AGI) for the year. Without careful mapping, that increase can trigger unintended “stealth taxes” that erode the very benefits you're trying to capture.

The IRMAA Cliff

Medicare Part B and D premium surcharges (IRMAA) are based on AGI. Unlike standard tax brackets that graduate smoothly, IRMAA is a “step function” — going just one dollar over the threshold triggers the entire premium hike for the year.

The Tax Torpedo

Increased AGI can also push more of your Social Security benefits into being taxable — sometimes at an effective marginal rate that exceeds your actual tax bracket.

The Strategy

By planning in January or February, we project your baseline income for the year. This gives us the exact “headroom” available to fill lower tax brackets — like the expansive 24% bracket under current law — without accidentally spilling over into IRMAA or Social Security tax traps.

2. Setting Up the “Convert on the Dip” Strategy

Market volatility is a risk for most investors. But for Roth conversions, it's a massive asset — if you're prepared to act.

The Math

When asset prices decline, the tax cost of converting a specific number of shares drops — but the future tax-free growth potential of those shares remains the same.

The Execution

Instead of one lump-sum conversion, early planning allows us to set up a “Partial Tiered” strategy. If we know in February that the goal is to convert $50,000 this year, we can pull the trigger in tranches during market pullbacks — for example, converting 20% during a 10% market dip. When the market recovers, that rebound growth happens entirely within the tax-free Roth environment.

You cannot effectively execute this strategy if you wait until November to start planning.

3. Proper Sequencing of RMDs (Avoiding the 6% Penalty Trap)

For clients age 73 and older who are subject to Required Minimum Distributions, the order of operations is a strict IRS rule that DIY investors frequently violate.

The Rule

The IRS dictates that the first dollars distributed from a retirement account in a given year are deemed to satisfy the RMD. RMDs cannot be converted to a Roth IRA.

The Trap

If you execute a Roth conversion on January 1st before taking your RMD, you've effectively converted an RMD. This creates an illegal “excess contribution” in the Roth IRA, subject to a 6% penalty unless corrective action is taken.

The Strategy

Early planning ensures we sequence distributions correctly. We first clear the RMD — perhaps by utilizing a Qualified Charitable Distribution (QCD) to keep the RMD out of your AGI — and then execute the Roth conversion with the remaining eligible funds.

4. The Irrevocability Factor Requires Monitoring

Since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the IRS no longer allows “recharacterizations” (undoing) of Roth conversions. Once you convert, you owe the tax — even if the market drops the next day or your financial situation changes.

Plan in January. Execute Throughout the Year.

Planning in January doesn't mean we execute the entire conversion in January. It means we build the blueprint. We then monitor your cash flow, business income, and major expenses over the next 10 months. If your income unexpectedly spikes mid-year, we have the flexibility to reduce the planned Q4 conversion tranche — ensuring you're never locked into an unaffordable tax bill.

Beyond Outside Funds: Advanced Tax Funding Strategies

While paying conversion taxes from outside funds is the standard best practice, in certain qualifying situations we can structure the conversion so that the tax cost is funded from within the strategy itself — without requiring outside cash. This advanced approach is situation-dependent and not widely available. Ask us about it in your Discovery Session.

The Bottom Line

1

Map stealth tax thresholds before any conversion

2

Set conversion targets so you can act on market dips

3

Sequence RMDs first to avoid the 6% penalty trap

4

Monitor and adjust — because conversions are permanent

Start Your 2026 Roth Conversion Blueprint

The earlier you plan, the more flexibility you have. Schedule a free Discovery Session and we'll map your income thresholds, identify your conversion headroom, and build a strategy that adapts to whatever the year throws at you.

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